Brett,
I like this post. It makes me think. Looking at scores over the years it makes me think that it's not only the airplanes that are changing, but the judging. It sort of implies that instead of being judged to a standard that judging has become relative.
That doesn't seem to be all that mysterious. It has not "become" relative, it was *always* relative.
And you are not entirely correct - in some areas where the range of skills in Expert is extremely wide - the top scores from The Usual Suspects are routinely in the upper 500's to low 600, which is what is necessary to reasonably represent the differences from top to bottom. Same thing at the NATs, as soon as they stopped artificially targeting judges that would give the highest scores in the range of 535, the scoring range and the top absolute score went up dramatically.
It's the same issue with a lot of local contests - if you don't, and the judges don't, routinely fly with or judge nationals quality fliers, you lose your perspective. That's why you cannot possibly just go out and practice a lot by yourself and get anywhere. You can get pretty good that way, but if you have no references you will never know what issues remain.
It's Local Hero syndrome - they win all the contests in their area, they get pushed up to expert where they still are the best. Then they go to the NATs, and not only are they not competitive in Open, they aren't all that certain to win Advanced. Same with judging - Local Hero is the best you ever see, so his score goes into the 520s- 530s. Unless a Paul Walker or David Fitzgerald drops in, then, David gets a 626 and local hero might be in the 400s.
That's why I tell people that they can never, ever, get to a reasonably competitive level by themselves. There are a lot of guys who are determined to go it on there own and then drop into the NATs and win it in the first try. The only person in the remotely modern era to do that was 1967 when Bart Klapinski did it. Where did Bart fly? Los Angeles, when that was one of the hottest competition areas. And this is Bart K. who is generally noted to have the most uncanny natural talent, even among the elites*.
So, it was always relative. What better equipment has done is bring more people to a competitive level, because it's so damn reliable and the performance is such that if you do make a mistake, you can just fly out of it, it will just keep going. Try flying competitive sizes with a classic model and yes, every once in a while you can get through an entire flight without screwing it up.
But most of the time, you will make some minor mistake somewhere and that mistake will blow an entire maneuver. If you slighty overcook a single corner in a square 8, your Fox 35 Green Box Nobler will get out of shape, and you can *never* recover, you might complete it, but it doesn't recover until you are back in level flight for two laps. Make a mistake with your Impact/40VF, and it's back flying again before the next corner comes up.
This is getting off-topic, but this is why I get so frustrated with most of the engine discussions - no one appears to even be interested in competitive systems, and will go out of their way to either screw up their own engines to Classic standards, or become hostile when you point out that fact that the event has learned a lot since 1949 - how DARE you say something bad about my engine, it swept the 1955 Nationals!
Brett
*if *Ted Fancher* has to ask "how the heck does he do that?!" then you know you witnessing something extraordinary!